Danish Intelligence Issues Warning: “Russia Could Declare War on Europe”
Danish intelligence warns that Russia could potentially initiate a major war in Europe. An updated threat assessment outlines three possible scenarios that could unfold after the conclusion of the conflict in Ukraine. According to these scenarios, Russia could engage in a local conflict with a neighboring country within six months, escalate to a regional conflict in the Baltic Sea region within two years, and launch a large-scale attack on Europe within five years if the United States does not intervene.
The Danish Defence Intelligence Service (DDIS) stated that if Moscow perceives NATO as weak, Russia could be prepared to start a “large-scale war” in Europe within five years. The report released on Tuesday includes a statement that if Russia perceives NATO as militarily weakened or politically divided, it could employ military force in a regional war against one or more European NATO countries.
THREE SCENARIOS UNDER DISCUSSION The report also highlights that Russia is enhancing its military capabilities to prepare for a potential conflict with NATO.
The updated threat assessment comes as part of efforts by President Donald Trump, who will enter his fourth year in office at the end of this month, to end the conflict in Ukraine. The agency’s assumptions regarding Russia’s inability to engage in simultaneous wars with multiple countries led to the formulation of three potential scenarios that could unfold after the conflict in Ukraine is resolved.
WITHIN 6 MONTHS A NEIGHBOR, IN 5 YEARS ALL OF EUROPE As per these scenarios, Russia could engage in a local conflict with a neighboring country within six months, escalate to a regional conflict in the Baltic Sea region within two years, and launch a large-scale attack on Europe within five years if the United States does not intervene. The institution notes that a potential increase in NATO’s defensive capabilities has not been taken into account. Trump stated that he would “encourage” Russia to attack any NATO member country that fails to meet its financial obligations in 2024.
