Feriborz Natiki, an Iranian academic, issued a warning of a seismic risk in the capital city of Tehran, likening it to a potential cataclysmic event.

As a faculty member at the International Institute of Seismology and Earthquake Engineering in Tehran, Natiki emphasized the serious earthquake risks present in various regions across the country. He highlighted Iran’s position as one of the most earthquake-prone countries globally, with recent statistics ranking it third in terms of frequency and intensity of seismic activities. Natiki noted that almost all of Iran’s territory, as well as many neighboring countries, are located in high-risk earthquake zones.

Natiki raised concerns about the looming threat of a devastating earthquake in Tehran due to its location atop an active fault line. He underlined the importance of preparedness and planning, stating, “It has been nearly 200 years since the last major earthquake, making it crucial to be ready and strategize against this natural hazard. Our primary concern presently is the possibility of a catastrophic earthquake in Tehran.”

Regarding recent seismic activity in the region, Natiki cited a study revealing a historical occurrence of severe earthquakes with a magnitude around 7 every 158-160 years, indicating a heightened likelihood of a more powerful quake. While acknowledging the appealing architectural appearances of many new buildings in the country, Natiki expressed unease about their lack of earthquake-resistant foundations and skeletons due to cost-cutting measures. He cautioned that if a predicted earthquake were to strike Tehran, it could lead to widespread devastation and disruptions, undermining national unity given the city’s critical role in the country.

Natiki stressed the urgency of addressing the seismic threats facing Iran, asserting that, in his view, earthquakes pose a more severe risk than atomic bombs, wars, or other concerns. He warned of the potential collapse of sovereignty and unity in the event of a major earthquake in Tehran, explaining that the nation’s dependency on the capital could result in a national catastrophe.