Central Bank awaits the second interest rate decision on the meeting date! The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey’s (CBRT) interest rate expectation for March 2025

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey held the first Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting of 2025 in January. According to the decision, the one-week repo auction interest rate was reduced by 250 basis points to 45.00 percent. Markets are following the CBRT’s interest rate decision for March. Throughout 2025, the Central Bank will hold 8 meetings to announce its interest rate decision. The Central Bank is set to share the second interest rate decision of the year with the markets in March. The interest rate was announced as 45.00 percent in the decision announced in January. According to the CBRT MPC meeting schedule, the last meeting of the year will be held on December 11. According to the Central Bank’s February survey, the one-week repo auction interest rate expectation for three months ahead is 40.00 percent. According to the CBRT Monetary Policy Committee meeting schedule, the second interest rate decision of the year will be announced to the markets after the meeting on March 6 at 14:00. According to the participants’ survey in February, the expectation for the end-of-year consumer inflation (CPI) rate was 27.05 percent in the previous survey period, while it was 28.30 percent in this survey period. The expectation for 12 months ahead CPI was 25.38 percent in the previous survey period, while it was 25.26 percent in this survey period. In the February 2025 survey period, participants predicted that the average CPI rate for 12 months ahead had a probability of 22.80 percent in the range of 21.00-23.99 percent, a probability of 41.11 percent in the range of 24.00-26.99 percent, and a probability of 21.46 percent in the range of 27.00-29.99 percent. The participants’ expectation for the overnight interest rate at the end of the current month was 45.00 percent in the previous survey period, while it was 44.79 percent in this survey period. March 6, 2025 April 17, 2025 June 19, 2025 July 24, 2025 September 11, 2025 October 23, 2025 December 11, 2025